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The comparison of the Parliamentary elections in 2017 and 2021 in terms of voter behavior and results
ŠLECHTOVÁ, Barbora
The bachelor's thesis deals with Parliamentary elections held in 2017 and 2021. The goal of the work is to compare the voters' behaviour, election results and election campaigns, both on a yearly basis and between the two years. The first chapter deals generally with elections to the Chamber of Deputies, the financing of political parties and the recalcuation of votes into mandates. The second chapter is about electorate voting behavior, and the first part is theoretical, while the sequel is already focused specifically on how voters made their choices in both years of comparison. The third chapter summarizes the election results and compares them with assumptions that were published shorter or longer before the election date and shows the spillover. In the last chapter of the thesis, one can read about the election campaigns and their comparisons and the changes that have taken place during the election period.
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Interpretation of Pre-election Polls in The Czech Printed Dailies
Tučková, Kateřina ; Nečas, Vlastimil (advisor) ; Vochocová, Lenka (referee)
The diploma thesis Interpretation of Pre-election Polls in The Czech Printed Dailies studyies the ways in which media portrays data from election polls as part of thier news service. The thesis draws from theories of media effects, the research of which indicates a possible influence of media content on the formation of public opinion or even voting behaviour. For this reason, it maz be expected that the media present data in line with certain standards. However, in the Czech Republic, there is no code of conduct that would formulate such requirements. This leads to an ongoing struggle between the research agencies who supply such data and the media who present it to the public, where each party judges the content's quality by different measures. Some of the often criticised errors include misinterpretation of data and an insufficient explanation of the research's background. This paper uses quantitative content analysis to examine 154 articles from Czech printed journals across the three pre-election periods (2010, 2013, 2017) with the aim of determining in which form the results of pre- election polls are presented, and if all necessary data are added. The final analysis looks at the data as a whole as well as examining the trendlines during the studied time period. In conclusion, it evaluates...
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Election Polls in Czech Republic: Methodological Optimalizations
Prokop, Daniel ; Krejčí, Jindřich (advisor) ; Soukup, Petr (referee)
Bibliographic record PROKOP, Daniel. (2012). Election polls in the Czech Republic: Methodological Optimization. Charles University in Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institut of Sociological Studies. Thesis academic consultant: Mgr. Jindřich Krejčí, Ph.D. Abstract The thesis focuses on the election-polls and prediction of election results in the Czech Republic. Using data of research company MEDIAN s.r.o. from face-to-face (CAPI) and telephone interviewing (CATI) in election year 2010 it examines possibilities of methodological optimizations which could lead to reducing systematic bias and discrepancies of pre-election polls the election results. In particular, it discusses these methodological solutions: mix-mode data collection (combination of CATI and CAPI), data weighting focused on specific factors correlated with voting behavior, including preferences of undecided voters, prediction of the respondents' participation in elections, election-polls results time-series smoothing. Based on these analyses the thesis tries to articulate general findings which could be fruitful in discussion about Czech election-polls and their methodology in general. In the thesis, basic and advanced statistic methods (CART, exponential smoothing, etc.) are being used to achieve given research goals. Keywords: election...
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